Set A: Statements we make: ‘Hdfc Top 200 is a fund which is DOING well…. Real estate prices ALWAYS GO UP in Mumbai……. Gold prices are GOING up…. Real estate prices are GOING up…. Equity markets are DOING BADLY….. We hear and make these statements, do we not? What we mean is ‘Last […]
Here are some axioms, sayings, postulates, ….which people use (well almost indiscriminately) ..let us see if we really do understand what it means? 1. Mutual funds are professionally managed. 2. This company is professionally managed. 3. You cannot look into the rear-view mirror and drive. 4. To spread the risk, it makes sense to diversify […]
So sad we do not have a Dalbar (an US based research firm that compares returns of stock and bond markets with those of individual investors) research on Indian investor returns! Just released in the US it has 2 startling facts: Over the last 20 year period the Standard& Poor Index returned an annualized gain […]
The average return on equity investments (without reinvestment of dividends) is about 18% over the past 31 years. Does it mean that every year you got 19%? The answer is no. Such ‘zero standard deviation return’ is possible only in CERTAIN debt instruments. In equity investments there have been years of +242% as well […]
“Past performance is not an indicator of future performance” — the literature of every mutual fund you own, mentions something to this effect. In fact once, when I was lecturing at a mutual fund house, which was not performing well, one of the managers said, jocularly, “Can we say our past non-performance is not an […]
This is the second in a series of ‘myth busting’ articles..in all there are 6 myths. You will find a completely contrarian view in the print media! This is completely true some people think this is false! Only problem is people who think this is untrue do NOT know how to do fundamental analysis. For […]
“Past performance is not an indicator of future performance” — the literature of every mutual fund you own, mentions something to this effect. In fact once, when I was lecturing at a mutual fund house, which was not performing well, one of the managers said, jocularly, “Can we say our past non-performance is not an indicator […]