Markets fell by 240 points yesterday and has fallen 230 points already today. For people like us markets means sensex! Markets are driven by 3 factors – Earnings of the companies, the future expectations (price-earning ratio) and the liquidity in the market. In the current market earnings are at their peak – the next couple […]

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Whenever the receptionist in our office wears a pink dupatta, equity markets go up by at least 50 points. I have no clue whether you would buy shares based on something like this. However, now I am being offered shares of Talwalkar (the fitness people) priced at a price-earning ratio of 44. The logic? Subra, […]

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Thanks to the fact that I write and also run a blog, I get a lot of questions expecting ‘Yes’, ‘No’. Invest in ‘Hdfc Growth fund’, or ‘do not touch unit linked plans’ kind of answers. This to me is difficult. Even when people ask me “What do you think of Tata Steel?” (Ok when […]

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One very important fallacy is called the ‘Sunk cost fallacy’ – which makes us throw more good money after money already gone bad. Typically a lender keeps lending money to one customer hoping that this will enable the borrower to do well and repay ALL the money. Another manifestation of this is called ‘Averaging’ – […]

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There are many people wondering whether this is a bear rally or a bull rally. Unfortunately only with time can one say whether the recovery will be V shaped, U shaped or L shaped! There are many fantastic signals to say that this is a bull rally. ONe is the sharpness/ shrillness of the ‘pyt’s […]

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