Markets are not easy to stay on…
You should read Investing Fables by Damodaran. Assuming of course that you have not ever read it. If you have, you must re-read it.
Let us look at some of the myths of investing….
Actually all of them are true, however, the catch is that sometimes it may not be true.
- Shares always outperform bonds over time: true. Assume that this is true only over 10 year periods, and you held it for 9 years and 1 month YOU COULD BE COMPLETELY WRONG. Exactly why you should see discrete returns as well as cagr.
- A bad year WILL be followed by a GOOD year. Though normally true, sometimes a bad year can be followed by a worse year and then by an ordinary year and then by a bumper year. Using past data to guess about the future is of no use.
- A good share is a good share. So you can buy it at any price and hold on permanently indefinitely, and maybe for life.
- PSU shares are terrible and is always a sell. It should never be bought. – The truth is at sometime value emerges in all shares. So even though a PSU bank like Icici may not be a good buy even at this price, SAIL maybe a good buy! Do not generalize.
- Large cap will always under perform a Midcap and a Mid cap will under-perform a small cap. Sheer bull shit.
- When there is performance rotation, you should rotate your portfolio! Let the market do it – you can sit tight.
- You can’t time the market
- You can time the market
- You should do a SIP for each goal
- Fund managers give you better returns than what you can get investing directly.
- You cannot / should not do direct equities by yourself. Only fund managers can.
be careful….