Learning at Morningstar Investment Conference, Mumbai
At my age attending Investment Conferences is not of much use. Not that I do not have anything to learn, just that I do not have enough time left in life to be implement new learning. So learning is not of much use – except of course to write blogs.
What did I learn from the 2 day conference – of what I attended! It was more a reinforcement of what I knew
- Equities requires patience
- I liked Ridham Desai saying ‘you get rewarded in equity because you sat out the dramatic falls’. So true.
- I was near the ring when my broker was selling off my 2000 Mazda Industries between prices from 1200 to 450,
- Imagine how scary is the scenario when your broker has defaulted in the BSE and you have done a Rs. 50L pay in !
- When you had a choice of paying off a client or declaring bankruptcy, you choose to pay the client. OMG.
- When Ramdeo Aggarwal says ‘Its going to be a Rural resurgence you feel happy
- Next line he rubbishes the fertilizer industry. You tell yourself ‘Coromandel International.
- When wealth studies are done without DIVIDENDS you chuckle and say ‘Colgate,Ntpc, PnG’.
- Only about 200 out of BsE top 500 have clean books. Nice to know. I thought it was lower.
- Kavil Ramachandran talking about Family managed companies was good
- I have liked Murugappa group, Hdfc, Asian Paints better than LnT, Itc, many psu
- Elder pharma – what a cruel end to a man’s solid effort but
- Family is like socialism – everybody is protected
- Business is capitalism – only the fittest survive
- Family business is an amalgamation of the 2
- Family business the kids get free grooming – true, but what if they do not want it?
- families need shared mission, shared vision, scenario building
- Murugappa group has been handling the family situation well, lets see how long
- Dilemma, Deviation, Differences, Disputes, Destruction – family business in ruins soon!
- Entrepreneurs have to be FORCED TO RETIRE…never retire voluntarily
- nice to see women in fund management – they are likely to be calmer
- In debt Momentum is an opportunity – and the risk too?
- 10 year CPI is 4.2%.
- Ignore CPI – 50% of it is food. We spend on lifestyles not food. For most of us it is 12% pa at least
- US going through Liposuction of money, so it will be painful
- Japan needs to eat more, preferably over overeat!
- Interest rates are volatile
- For the real good corporate bond markets are more lucrative than banks
- one will see the banking sector shrink
- Most bank balance sheets are shit. I would stay away except Hdfc and Kotak
- Yes Bank and Indusind bank balance sheets are better than Axis for sure
- Icici bank is still in a sticky wicket – be ready for volatility
- fund managers need to risk price well, much better than banks!
- FM need to monitor micro better than rating agencies
- rating agencies have no skin in the game, and that is dangerous
- need to look at many more parameters
- fm have to look at cash flow coming from an escrow if possible
- spv will kill lotsa bank transactions
- good risk mitigation strategies have to be in place
- active credit management is a MUST
- FM will have to learn to say NO for poor quality
- sitting tight on large funds will REDUCE THE YIELD on bond funds
- private capex is not really happening
- RBI will cut 50 bps in one year….